Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
8º
1
7º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
LCU
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSI
2 - 1
MIN
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
HDZ
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 2
CFC
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ZAC
3 - 3
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CSI
0 - 2
LEO
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 3
CSI
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZAC
2 - 0
LEO
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NAY
1 - 2
LEO
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 3
TRI
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |