Millwall vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
CAM
1 - 0
MIL
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
MIL
2 - 1
OXF
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
WOL
0 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
MIL
1 - 0
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
OPA
6 - 1
MIL
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
SWI
1 - 0
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
OPA
1 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
SWI
3 - 1
SOU
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1992 |
SWI
2 - 0
TRA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
NEW
3 - 1
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |