Millwall vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NTT
1 - 1
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MIL
3 - 1
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
MID
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LEE
3 - 1
MIL
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MIL
4 - 0
HUL
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
REA
3 - 0
CRY
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LEI
1 - 2
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
REA
3 - 3
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
REA
1 - 1
NTT
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
OPA
1 - 1
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |