Millwall vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
WIG
1 - 0
MIL
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PNE
0 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 1
FUL
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 2
WBA
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SHW
0 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BIR
3 - 3
SHW
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
BIR
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 3
BIR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BIR
2 - 2
COV
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |