Millonarios vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
MIL
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 0
HUI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 0
UNI
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 3
MIL
25%
28%
48%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
JAG
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
AGU
30%
30%
40%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CUC
4 - 0
JAG
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EQU
4 - 3
JAG
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 3
ENV
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |