Millonarios vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
65%
23%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
BUC
61%
24%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
PAS
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
CUC
47%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
1 - 0
FOR
22%
29%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
QUI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
BOG
0 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |