Millonarios vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 1
BUC
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 3
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIL
0 - 0
AGU
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
NAC
18%
27%
55%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
CAL
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |