Millonarios vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 0
MIL
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 0
ONC
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 2
MIL
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
EQU
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
EQU
4 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |