Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
CAL
3 - 0
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 1
BUC
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PER
2 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
COR
2 - 1
MIL
26%
29%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
PAS
2 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 0
PAS
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAS
1 - 1
IND
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAS
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAS
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |