Mill Park vs Heidelberg Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mill Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
HST
0 - 3
MPS
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MPS
2 - 4
MON
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MPS
5 - 1
CFA
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MPS
2 - 0
FSC
60%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heidelberg Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LFC
1 - 4
HES
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |