Milerock vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+1236%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milerock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
WTI
10 - 0
MIL
52%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 1
VKI
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BUX
4 - 1
MIL
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 0
ANG
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 2
SAN
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
VKI
0 - 7
SFC
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |