Milan vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 0
CES
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACM
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 2
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ESK
0 - 0
VKP
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VKP
4 - 2
JAB
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
VKP
1 - 1
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
SIG
2 - 3
VKP
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
VKP
0 - 2
SPA
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |