Milan vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
32%
27%
40%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
FOR
0 - 2
ACM
6%
18%
76%
|
91 | 38 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
STR
0 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
39%
27%
35%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1995 |
STR
3 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1995 |
STR
0 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
STR
0 - 0
GUI
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
LIL
2 - 0
STR
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |