Milan vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACM
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
4 - 0
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
VNZ
48%
23%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 0
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 3
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |