Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 1
ACM
42%
25%
32%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACL
0 - 0
NAP
58%
20%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |