Milan vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
59%
21%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 7
ACM
26%
24%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 2
ABN
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ABN
0 - 1
MOD
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIR
3 - 3
MOD
30%
30%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
LEG
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |