Serie A Round 10

Milan vs Lecce analysis

Milan Lecce
90 ELO 79
13% Tilt -4.8%
10º General ELO ranking 115º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
77.2%
Milan
14.4%
Draw
8.4%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
Milan
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
Lecce
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milan
-4%
+2%
Lecce

ELO progression

Milan
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2000
DEP
RC Deportivo
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
52%
25%
23%
90 90 0 0
03 Dec. 2000
UDI
Udinese
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
48%
24%
27%
90 88 2 0
28 Nov. 2000
ACM
Milan
4 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
75%
17%
8%
90 84 6 0
25 Nov. 2000
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Napoli
NAP
77%
15%
8%
90 75 15 0
21 Nov. 2000
ACM
Milan
2 - 2
Galatasaray SK
GAL
67%
19%
14%
90 86 4 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2000
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
29%
27%
44%
79 88 9 0
25 Nov. 2000
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce
LEC
58%
22%
20%
79 84 5 0
19 Nov. 2000
LEC
Lecce
2 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
44%
26%
30%
79 80 1 0
12 Nov. 2000
INT
Inter
0 - 1
Lecce
LEC
73%
17%
11%
79 89 10 0
05 Nov. 2000
UDI
Udinese
2 - 0
Lecce
LEC
75%
16%
10%
79 89 10 0