Serie A round 9

Milan vs Genoa analysis

Milan Genoa
89 ELO 78
-8.3% Tilt 3.7%
18º General ELO ranking 149º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
69.9%
Milan
19%
Draw
11.1%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
Milan
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.1%
Win probability
Genoa
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Milan
Genoa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2012
MAL
Málaga
1 - 0
Milan
ACM
42%
25%
33%
89 87 2 0
20 Oct. 2012
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Milan
ACM
32%
27%
41%
89 85 4 0
07 Oct. 2012
ACM
Milan
0 - 1
Inter
INT
53%
24%
23%
89 87 2 0
03 Oct. 2012
ZEN
Zenit
2 - 3
Milan
ACM
32%
26%
42%
89 85 4 0
29 Sep. 2012
PAR
Parma
1 - 1
Milan
ACM
26%
26%
49%
89 82 7 0

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2012
GEN
Genoa
2 - 4
Roma
ROM
33%
24%
43%
79 85 6 0
06 Oct. 2012
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
51%
24%
25%
79 80 1 0
30 Sep. 2012
UDI
Udinese
0 - 0
Genoa
GEN
61%
22%
17%
79 85 6 0
26 Sep. 2012
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
48%
24%
28%
79 82 3 0
23 Sep. 2012
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Genoa
GEN
61%
22%
17%
78 85 7 +1