Milan vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
TRI
1 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
60%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
31%
23%
46%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
UNI
2 - 1
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 4
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
FIO
0 - 0
LAZ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
FIO
2 - 1
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
TOR
2 - 0
FIO
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 3
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
FIO
5 - 0
INT
31%
23%
45%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |