Milan vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
ACM
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 2
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
2 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
SHR
0 - 2
ACM
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 2
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 4
SAS
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SPE
5 - 0
PIS
83%
13%
5%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 1
SPE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |