Milan vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 2
ACM
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 3
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 3
ACM
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 1
GEN
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
ACM
15%
23%
62%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
FCB
9%
16%
75%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 3
AJA
16%
20%
64%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |