Milan vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 0
IPS
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
49%
22%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPA
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 2
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
MAN
2 - 1
NAP
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |