Lega Primavera U19 Round 3

Milan U20 vs Genoa U20 analysis

Milan U20 Genoa U20
13 ELO 10
-8.2% Tilt -4.7%
16181º General ELO ranking 16949º
427º Country ELO ranking 436º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Milan U20
19.7%
Draw
20.9%
Genoa U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Milan U20
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.8%
Win probability
Genoa U20
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milan U20
+40%
-46%
Genoa U20

ELO progression

Milan U20
Genoa U20
Juventus U20
Fiorentina U20
Cagliari U20
Sassuolo U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan U20
Milan U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2025
LEC
Lecce U20
1 - 2
Milan U20
MIL
42%
22%
36%
12 11 1 0
24 May. 2025
SAS
Sassuolo U20
3 - 0
Milan U20
MIL
43%
22%
35%
13 13 0 -1
17 May. 2025
MIL
Milan U20
3 - 1
Genoa U20
GEN
58%
20%
22%
12 10 2 +1
11 May. 2025
TOR
Torino U20
2 - 1
Milan U20
MIL
34%
22%
43%
13 11 2 -1
04 May. 2025
MIL
Milan U20
4 - 0
Udinese U20
UDI
66%
18%
16%
12 7 5 +1

Matches

Genoa U20
Genoa U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2025
LAZ
Lazio U20
1 - 2
Genoa U20
GEN
60%
20%
20%
9 11 2 0
17 May. 2025
MIL
Milan U20
3 - 1
Genoa U20
GEN
58%
20%
22%
10 12 2 -1
11 May. 2025
GEN
Genoa U20
3 - 4
Cesena U20
CES
36%
22%
42%
10 12 2 0
05 May. 2025
FIO
Fiorentina U20
4 - 1
Genoa U20
GEN
44%
22%
34%
12 11 1 -2
28 Apr. 2025
GEN
Genoa U20
1 - 2
Roma U20
ROM
18%
18%
64%
12 18 6 0