Mika vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 3
MIK
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
ARA
2 - 4
MIK
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
KOT
2 - 2
MIK
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
SHI
1 - 1
MIK
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
MIK
2 - 0
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 3
SHI
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2003 |
SHI
0 - 2
BAN
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
SHI
1 - 1
MIK
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
DYE
1 - 3
SHI
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
PYU
1 - 0
SHI
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |