Danish Superliga Championship Group Round 7

Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis

Midtjylland AGF Aarhus
85 ELO 81
8.7% Tilt 13.4%
251º General ELO ranking 292º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.7%
Midtjylland
21.7%
Draw
19.6%
AGF Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Midtjylland
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Midtjylland
+10%
-13%
AGF Aarhus

Points and table prediction

Midtjylland
Their league position
AGF Aarhus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nordsjaelland
58
21
100%
Brøndby IF
62
15
100%
Midtjylland
63
15
100%
Kobenhavn
59
14
100%
Silkeborg IF
36
9
100%
AGF Aarhus
44
8
100%
Expected probabilities
Midtjylland
AGF Aarhus
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Midtjylland
AGF Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Midtjylland
Midtjylland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2024
MID
Midtjylland
3 - 2
Brøndby IF
BIF
50%
23%
26%
85 84 1 0
29 Apr. 2024
SIF
Silkeborg IF
3 - 0
Midtjylland
MID
29%
24%
47%
85 78 7 0
21 Apr. 2024
BIF
Brøndby IF
2 - 1
Midtjylland
MID
40%
24%
36%
85 83 2 0
14 Apr. 2024
MID
Midtjylland
2 - 2
Kobenhavn
FCK
44%
24%
33%
85 85 0 0
07 Apr. 2024
AGF
AGF Aarhus
0 - 1
Midtjylland
MID
29%
25%
46%
85 81 4 0

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2024
SIF
Silkeborg IF
1 - 0
AGF Aarhus
AGF
40%
24%
36%
81 79 2 0
03 May. 2024
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 3
Nordsjaelland
FCN
32%
26%
42%
81 85 4 0
28 Apr. 2024
FCK
Kobenhavn
3 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
53%
24%
23%
81 85 4 0
22 Apr. 2024
FCN
Nordsjaelland
7 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
56%
23%
21%
82 84 2 -1
14 Apr. 2024
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 2
Brøndby IF
BIF
37%
26%
37%
81 83 2 +1