Premier League 2 Division Two Round 11

Middlesbrough U23 vs Southampton U23 analysis

Middlesbrough U23 Southampton U23
49 ELO 43
5.7% Tilt 0.1%
38383º General ELO ranking 38386º
1194º Country ELO ranking 1197º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Middlesbrough U23
20.4%
Draw
18%
Southampton U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
Middlesbrough U23
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18%
Win probability
Southampton U23
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough U23
-13%
+84%
Southampton U23

ELO progression

Middlesbrough U23
Southampton U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough U23
Middlesbrough U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2017
WBA
West Bromwich Albion U23
0 - 1
Middlesbrough U23
MID
18%
23%
60%
48 34 14 0
29 Oct. 2017
MID
Middlesbrough U23
3 - 1
Wolverhampton U23
WOL
58%
22%
21%
47 44 3 +1
20 Oct. 2017
BHA
Brighton & Hove U23
2 - 2
Middlesbrough U23
MID
43%
25%
32%
47 46 1 0
15 Oct. 2017
MID
Middlesbrough U23
3 - 4
Reading U23
REA
55%
23%
23%
48 45 3 -1
22 Sep. 2017
MID
Middlesbrough U23
2 - 1
Stoke City U23
STO
63%
21%
17%
48 41 7 0

Matches

Southampton U23
Southampton U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2017
SOU
Southampton U23
3 - 4
Fulham U23
FUL
45%
24%
31%
44 44 0 0
30 Oct. 2017
SOU
Southampton U23
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove U23
BHA
44%
24%
32%
45 46 1 -1
20 Oct. 2017
NOR
Norwich City U23
3 - 0
Southampton U23
SOU
28%
24%
47%
47 39 8 -2
16 Oct. 2017
SOU
Southampton U23
6 - 2
Newcastle U23
NSB
54%
23%
23%
46 42 4 +1
25 Sep. 2017
WBA
West Bromwich Albion U23
0 - 1
Southampton U23
SOU
28%
24%
48%
45 37 8 +1