Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
7º
1
10º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 3
MID
66%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
MID
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 1
MID
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BPO
4 - 1
MID
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
DCO
2 - 5
LUS
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
DCO
2 - 3
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
DON
2 - 2
DCO
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
DCO
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
DCO
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |