Middlesbrough vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
WOL
3 - 1
MID
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
MID
4 - 1
OPA
52%
20%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
MID
1 - 2
SOU
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
MID
4 - 0
FUL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
FUL
2 - 0
MID
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1926 |
BRA
3 - 1
SWA
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
SWA
4 - 1
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
SOU
3 - 1
SWA
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
STO
1 - 3
SWA
42%
24%
34%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
STO
1 - 1
SWA
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |