Europa League . Last 16
Global 2-4
Middlesbrough vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ASV
2 - 0
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MID
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
MID
2 - 1
GRA
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
GRA
2 - 2
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 0
MID
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
SCP
4 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
FEY
1 - 2
SCP
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 0
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 1
FEY
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |