Europa League . Final

Middlesbrough vs Sevilla analysis

Middlesbrough Sevilla
85 ELO 90
8.4% Tilt -15%
309º General ELO ranking 66º
26º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
32.8%
Middlesbrough
24.7%
Draw
42.5%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
Sevilla
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Sevilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2006
FUL
Fulham
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
47%
26%
27%
86 83 3 0
03 May. 2006
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
48%
27%
26%
86 86 0 0
01 May. 2006
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
71%
19%
11%
85 93 8 +1
29 Apr. 2006
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Everton
EVE
58%
22%
20%
86 83 3 -1
27 Apr. 2006
MID
Middlesbrough
4 - 2
FCSB
STB
70%
20%
11%
85 78 7 +1

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2006
MAL
Málaga
0 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
30%
28%
43%
89 83 6 0
03 May. 2006
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 0
Getafe
GET
56%
24%
19%
89 84 5 0
30 Apr. 2006
RSO
Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
40%
27%
33%
89 85 4 0
27 Apr. 2006
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
48%
27%
25%
89 88 1 0
20 Apr. 2006
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
48%
27%
26%
89 88 1 0
X