Middlesbrough vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
WOL
3 - 3
MID
37%
23%
40%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
MID
1 - 2
SOU
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
OLD
1 - 3
MID
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1928 |
MID
1 - 1
HUL
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
40%
23%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1928 |
REA
1 - 2
NOT
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
NOT
2 - 0
TOT
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
HUL
1 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
WBA
1 - 3
NOT
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |