Championship Jor. 4

Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest analysis

Middlesbrough Nottingham Forest
77 ELO 75
8.9% Tilt -5.5%
323º General ELO ranking 141º
26º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Middlesbrough
22.2%
Draw
21%
Nottingham Forest

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.1%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough
+6%
+2%
Nottingham Forest

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Nottingham Forest
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 1997
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
28%
28%
44%
77 61 16 0
18 Nov. 1997
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
56%
21%
23%
77 76 1 0
15 Nov. 1997
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
22%
28%
50%
76 57 19 +1
08 Nov. 1997
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
73%
16%
11%
76 66 10 0
05 Nov. 1997
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Portsmouth
OPA
83%
12%
5%
76 58 18 0

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 1997
NTT
Nottingham Forest
5 - 2
Charlton Athletic
CHA
68%
20%
12%
75 63 12 0
15 Nov. 1997
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
70%
19%
11%
75 63 12 0
08 Nov. 1997
SUN
Sunderland
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
35%
28%
37%
75 68 7 0
04 Nov. 1997
BCF
Bury
2 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
19%
25%
56%
76 56 20 -1
01 Nov. 1997
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
77%
16%
7%
75 55 20 +1
X