Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
PNE
1 - 0
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 0
MID
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
40%
23%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
SUN
0 - 2
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
MID
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1953 |
BPO
1 - 3
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1953 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1953 |
NEW
1 - 1
OPA
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |