Middlesbrough vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MID
1 - 0
TOT
11%
19%
71%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MID
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
WBA
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 1
MID
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MID
4 - 1
DER
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LUT
2 - 3
CHL
7%
19%
74%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LUT
1 - 0
DER
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
LUT
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LUT
2 - 0
WBA
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |