Middlesbrough vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1905 |
EVE
4 - 1
MID
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1905 |
MID
0 - 3
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1905 |
MID
2 - 5
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1905 |
BBU
0 - 2
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
MID
3 - 1
ASV
32%
25%
44%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1905 |
DER
3 - 1
BCF
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
BIR
2 - 0
DER
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1905 |
SHW
1 - 1
DER
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
ARS
0 - 0
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1905 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |