Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1983 |
OLD
3 - 0
MID
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
FUL
1 - 0
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
MID
1 - 1
SHW
60%
23%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 4
MUD
42%
28%
29%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEE
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
ARS
3 - 1
BHA
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
LEE
1 - 1
ARS
38%
29%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEE
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |