Middelfart vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
THI
0 - 2
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
MID
3 - 1
KJE
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
NAE
1 - 0
MID
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MID
3 - 0
RIN
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
KOL
1 - 2
MID
34%
22%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 1
KOL
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
SYD
2 - 1
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAR
77%
15%
9%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
THI
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KJE
2 - 2
VAR
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |