Middelfart vs VSK Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MID
3 - 1
JAM
50%
22%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KOL
2 - 3
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
ODD
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
THI
44%
23%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VSK Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SKI
3 - 1
KOL
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SKI
1 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
JAM
3 - 1
SKI
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SKI
1 - 2
ODD
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |