Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
2º
60
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
51 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAE
0 - 1
MID
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
MID
3 - 1
BFR
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MID
1 - 0
AKA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SKI
1 - 1
MID
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MID
2 - 1
HEL
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
SKI
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AAF
7 - 0
NAE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BFR
0 - 1
AAF
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AKA
0 - 2
AAF
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 1
AKA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |