Mictlán vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NUE
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CON
3 - 1
GFC
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
SLC
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 1
CON
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NUE
1 - 1
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
NUE
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
NUE
2 - 0
SAN
33%
23%
45%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NUE
3 - 0
IZT
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DJC
3 - 1
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |