Mictlán vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
MUN
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
HAL
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 1
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
HAL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 0
LEO
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 0
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
LEO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |