Mictlán vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
5 - 1
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MUN
4 - 0
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 0
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
ESC
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
HAL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 1
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
VEN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |