Mictlán vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CON
3 - 3
MUN
42%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
ANT
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
VEN
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |