Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
MIX
22%
28%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ZAC
1 - 0
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
SAY
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MIX
3 - 2
CON
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
MIX
3 - 1
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SAY
3 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIX
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |