Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 1
CON
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ACH
0 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
UNI
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
MIX
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
COM
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
DEP
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACH
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |