Mictlán vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
26%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
CON
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CON
5 - 0
VEN
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DSA
0 - 1
AUR
68%
21%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
NUE
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 1
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 2
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |