Flint City Bucks vs Derby City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint City Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
MIC
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
KWU
0 - 5
MIC
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MIC
5 - 1
CIN
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
MIC
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
MIC
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
MIC
15%
22%
63%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 1
RIV
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
KWU
2 - 0
RIV
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
RIV
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 2
CHI
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |