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III Divisao. Group Açores, Matchday 18

Micaelense vs Fayal analysis

Micaelense Fayal
18 ELO 18
-37% Tilt -50%
7698º General ELO ranking 7700º
180º Country ELO ranking 182º
ELO win probability
41.8%
Micaelense
37.6%
Draw
20.6%
Fayal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
Micaelense
0.87
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
21.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
27%
37.6%
Draw
0-0
25.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
37.6%
20.6%
Win probability
Fayal
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.2%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Micaelense
-30%
+3%
Fayal

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitânia
º
43
43
0%
Praiense
º
38
38
0%
Santiago
º
37
37
0%
Prainha
º
29
29
0%
Boavista São
º
27
27
0%
SC Guadalupe
º
20
20
0%
Ideal
º
19
19
0%
Micaelense
º
15
15
0%
Fayal
º
13
13
0%
Águia CD
º
6
6
10º
0%
Expected probabilities
Micaelense
Fayal
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Micaelense
MIC
Fayal
FAY
União de Leiria
UDL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Micaelense
Micaelense
1%
X%
2%
ELO MIC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2012
AGU
Águia CD
1 - 0
Micaelense
MIC
46%
27%
27%
251 236 -15 -1
12 Feb. 2012
MIC
Micaelense
0 - 1
Praiense
PRA
46%
27%
27%
253 276 -23 -1
05 Feb. 2012
SCG
SC Guadalupe
5 - 0
Micaelense
MIC
45%
27%
28%
255 260 5 -3
29 Jan. 2012
MIC
Micaelense
0 - 3
Prainha
PRA
45%
27%
28%
258 263 -5 -2
21 Jan. 2012
BOA
Boavista São
1 - 1
Micaelense
MIC
45%
27%
28%
258 262 4 0

Matches

Fayal
Fayal
1%
X%
2%
ELO FAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2012
FAY
Fayal
3 - 4
Lusitânia
LUS
46%
27%
27%
250 279 -29 -1
12 Feb. 2012
IDE
Ideal
2 - 0
Fayal
FAY
45%
27%
28%
252 261 9 -2
05 Feb. 2012
FAY
Fayal
1 - 3
Santiago
SAN
46%
27%
27%
254 276 -22 -2
28 Jan. 2012
FAY
Fayal
3 - 2
Águia CD
AGU
45%
27%
28%
253 242 11 +1
22 Jan. 2012
PRA
Praiense
1 - 0
Fayal
FAY
47%
27%
26%
254 276 22 -1