Micaelense vs Fayal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Micaelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
MIC
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 1
PRA
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
5 - 0
MIC
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MIC
0 - 3
PRA
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
MIC
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 4
LUS
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IDE
2 - 0
FAY
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAY
1 - 3
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FAY
3 - 2
AGU
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 0
FAY
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |