Mezzolara vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MEZ
2 - 2
ASD
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
MEZ
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MEZ
2 - 4
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 0
MEZ
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MEZ
0 - 2
CAL
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
PRO
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
5 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
BRE
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 1
PRO
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |