Mezzolara vs Ribelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JMO
0 - 1
MEZ
50%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MEZ
1 - 2
PIA
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 2
MEZ
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
MEZ
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ribelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
VIR
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ABA
0 - 1
RIB
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
RIB
3 - 0
VIN
46%
24%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACE
4 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 0
FID
46%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |